Main South Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 2.2 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8.

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.7/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $41,723, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Housing insecurity runs 30.4% against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 44.4% across Worcester County.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 161 filings here across 1 tracked years.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10. Average gross rent is $1,338, 10% below the Worcester average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 12.9% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.