Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: High , Milford

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.5/10. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $32,155, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 2.2 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8.

This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 31.4% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,167 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Worcester commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.