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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Rice Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Worcester

Tract 25027732302 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,352 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 25027732302 sits in the Rice Square area of Worcester eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.8/10. It is home to 4,352 residents. Cost burden runs 64% here against 44.4% across Worcester County.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 21% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,839
Renter share56.9%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$64,864

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Rice Square
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Moderate
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#356 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2537, -71.7745 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rice Square scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,575 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Rice Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rice Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 732302Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 40Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2015)
  • 40Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rice Square

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 2.0 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8. The dominant input is local political climate at 7/10.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. SNAP participation runs 23.7% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 40 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #9,043 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,575, close to the Worcester average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027732302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027732302?

Census tract 25027732302 in the Rice Square neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027732302?

Median gross rent is $1,575/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027732302?

13.5% of residents in tract 25027732302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,352.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027732302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 95th, minority 65th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 25027732302 considered part of Rice Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027732302 fall within Rice Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027732302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027732302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.68% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027732302 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027732302 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027732302 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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