Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Fay Street Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

Tract 25027731801 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 25027731801 sits in the Fay Street Historic District area of Worcester eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 3,005. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.1/10.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 53% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,474
Renter share83.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate28.2%
Median income$53,996

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fay Street Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2692, -71.7815 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fay Street Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
28.2% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,139 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Fay Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fay Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 731801Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fay Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fay Street Historic District

84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 2.2 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8.

SNAP participation runs 31.6% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,139 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Worcester commands.

Cost burden runs 37% here against 44.4% across Worcester County. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.1/10. Food insecurity runs 25.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027731801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731801?

Census tract 25027731801 in the Fay Street Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027731801?

Median gross rent is $1,139/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731801?

28.2% of residents in tract 25027731801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 93th, minority 67th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 25027731801 considered part of Fay Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731801 fall within Fay Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027731801 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027731801 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027731801 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related