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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Fay Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Worcester

Tract 25027731801 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Fay Street Historic District neighborhood of Worcester, census tract 25027731801 scores 6.5/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,139 a month while the average household earns $53,996 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 53% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,474
Renter share83.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate28.2%
Median income$53,996

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fay Street Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 46 tracts In Worcester
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#124 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2692, -71.7815 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fay Street Historic District scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
28.2% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,139 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Fay Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fay Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 731801Worcester: 6.46.4Worcesterparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fay Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fay Street Historic District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Worcester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027731801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731801?

Census tract 25027731801 in the Fay Street Historic District neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027731801?

Median gross rent is $1,139/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731801?

28.2% of residents in tract 25027731801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 93th, minority 67th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 25027731801 considered part of Fay Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731801 fall within Fay Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027731801 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027731801 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027731801 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Worcester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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