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Census Tract · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Gardner Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25027707500 · Worcester County, MA · pop 5,748

Tract 25027707500 sits in Gardner, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 16% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,119
Renter share30.5%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$71,865

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Gardner
Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#74 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Elevated
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#725 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
National
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#16,032 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gardner and the region

Centroid at 42.5926, -71.9675 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gardner scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gardner
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$996 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gardner
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gardner
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gardner
6.4

How Gardner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gardner risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 707500Gardner: 6.16.1Gardnerparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 24Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.8%Peak (2015)
  • 24Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gardner

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 24 evictions over 1 years of observation. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points.

Average gross rent is $996, 10% below the Gardner average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 2.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $71,865, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027707500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027707500?

Census tract 25027707500 in Gardner scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027707500?

Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027707500?

6.6% of residents in tract 25027707500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,748.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027707500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 58th, minority 33th, housing 75th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027707500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027707500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.76% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027707500 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027707500 compare to Gardner overall?

Tract 25027707500 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Gardner at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gardner; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gardner

Top eight tracts in Gardner ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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