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Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Gardner Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25027707200 · Worcester County, MA · pop 1,973

25027707200 is a census tract in Gardner, MA. It scores 7.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,973. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 50% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,022
Renter share83.8%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$49,044

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Gardner
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#423 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
National
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10,320 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gardner and the region

Centroid at 42.5724, -71.9882 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gardner scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gardner
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,072 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gardner
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gardner
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gardner
6.4

How Gardner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gardner risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 707200Gardner: 6.16.1Gardnerparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 33Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2015)
  • 33Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gardner

This is renter territory: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 33 filings here across 1 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 5.0% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027707200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027707200?

Census tract 25027707200 in Gardner scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027707200?

Median gross rent is $1,072/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027707200?

19.9% of residents in tract 25027707200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027707200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 87th, minority 19th, housing 84th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027707200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027707200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.95% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027707200 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027707200 compare to Gardner overall?

Tract 25027707200 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Gardner at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gardner; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gardner

Top eight tracts in Gardner ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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