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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally

Beaver Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Worcester

Tract 25027731203 · Worcester County, MA · pop 5,764 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Census tract 25027731203 runs through Beaver Street Historic District in Worcester. With 5,764 residents, it scores 7.3/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,185 a month while the average household earns $27,113 a year, roughly 52% of income at the averages. About 90% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 40% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units2,399
Renter share90.3%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate50.8%
Median income$27,113

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Beaver Street Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2508, -71.8257 · click any tract to drill in

Why Beaver Street Historic District scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
50.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,185 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Beaver Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Beaver Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.17.1This tracttract 731203Worcester: 6.46.4Worcesterparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 122Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 6.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.0%Peak (2015)
  • 122Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Beaver Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Beaver Street Historic District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Worcester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027731203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731203?

Census tract 25027731203 in the Beaver Street Historic District neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027731203?

Median gross rent is $1,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731203?

50.8% of residents in tract 25027731203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,764.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 72th, minority 72th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 25027731203 considered part of Beaver Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731203 fall within Beaver Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027731203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 122 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027731203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.98% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027731203 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027731203 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027731203 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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