Colonial Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. The severe-burden share is 13%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Average gross rent is $828, 17% below the Lansing average of $993.

14.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Food insecurity affects 26.0% of adults, 8.2 points above the national rate. That places it #1 of 30 neighborhoods in Lansing.

For a like-for-like read, Churchill Downs and New Neighbors United score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $35,713. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.