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Neighborhood · Lansing, MI

Churchill Downs Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,501 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Churchill Downs is a 2-tract neighborhood of Lansing, MI and houses 7,501 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 41%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Lansing baseline of 30.1%, roughly three in four of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The poverty rate is 30%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. SNAP participation is 30.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Running hot is economic stress at 7.5/10. Food insecurity affects 29.9% of adults, 12.1 points above the national rate. Average gross rent is $1,095, 10% above the Lansing average of $993.

That places it #1 of 30 neighborhoods in Lansing. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $52,459. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Churchill Downs vs Lansing How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
74.9% +149%
Lansing: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,095 +10%
Lansing: $993
Average HH income
$52,459 +1%
Lansing: $52,170
Poverty rate
29.8% +50%
Lansing: 19.9%
Renter share
29.2% -37%
Lansing: 46.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Churchill Downs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Churchill Downs scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
75% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
29% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
29.8% below poverty line · Range 7.2–7.7 across tracts
7.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–6.2 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

Churchill Downs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Churchill Downs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4Churchill DownsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Churchill Downs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
26065003601 5.4 3,862 81% $1,260
26065003602 5.4 3,639 68% $920
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 87%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Churchill Downs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Churchill Downs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Churchill Downs?

Churchill Downs scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Churchill Downs compare to Lansing overall?

Churchill Downs scores 1.4 points higher than Lansing overall (4/10). Renters spend 75% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,095 vs $993.
Q3

What is the average rent in Churchill Downs?

Average gross rent in Churchill Downs is $1,095/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Churchill Downs residents are renters?

29% of Churchill Downs households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Lansing). The neighborhood has 7,501 residents.
Q5

Is Churchill Downs a high social-vulnerability area?

Churchill Downs sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Churchill Downs have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Churchill Downs is census tract 26065003601 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Churchill Downs for landlords?

Churchill Downs carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lansing as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Churchill Downs?

Churchill Downs has 7,524 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (34.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.5%), Hispanic / Latino (20.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Churchill Downs

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lansing

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Churchill Downs.

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