Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Old Saginaw City Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 26145001700 · Saginaw County, MI · pop 2,516 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up the Old Saginaw City area of Saginaw, census tract 26145001700 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. On the national scale it ranks #2,198 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $699 a month against an average household income of $41,250 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 31% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units795

Renter share57.4%

SVI overall0.92

Poverty rate41.3%

Median income$41,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saginaw and the region

Centroid at 43.4207, -83.9623 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Saginaw City scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Saginaw

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

41.3% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$699 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Saginaw

8.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Saginaw

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Saginaw

9.1

How Old Saginaw City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
39%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
73%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Saginaw City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.0%Housing insecurity
22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
40.1%Food insecurity
43.0%SNAP enrollment
19.4%Transit barriers
14.9%No health insurance
23.8%Frequent mental distress
44.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Saginaw City

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Saginaw County average of 6.1 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26145001700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26145001700?

Census tract 26145001700 in the Old Saginaw City neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26145001700?

Median gross rent is $699/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26145001700?

41.3% of residents in tract 26145001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,516.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26145001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 39th, minority 74th, housing 98th.

Is tract 26145001700 considered part of Old Saginaw City?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26145001700 fall within Old Saginaw City (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26145001700 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26145001700 compare to Saginaw overall?

Tract 26145001700 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Saginaw at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26145001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saginaw

Top eight tracts in Saginaw ranked by composite eviction-risk score.