Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Old Saginaw City Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 26145001700 · Saginaw County, MI · pop 2,516 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 26145001700 covers part of the Old Saginaw City area of Saginaw, MI, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,516 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 31% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units795

Renter share57.4%

SVI overall0.92

Poverty rate41.3%

Median income$41,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saginaw and the region

Centroid at 43.4207, -83.9623 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Saginaw City scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Saginaw

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

41.3% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$699 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Saginaw

8.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Saginaw

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Saginaw

9.1

How Old Saginaw City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
39%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
73%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Saginaw City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.0%Housing insecurity
22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
40.1%Food insecurity
43.0%SNAP enrollment
19.4%Transit barriers
14.9%No health insurance
23.8%Frequent mental distress
44.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Saginaw City

The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9/10.

It sits 1.7 points above the Saginaw County average of 4.3. Average gross rent is $699, 24% below the Saginaw average. Disability prevalence runs 44.7% against 31.5% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 27.0% against 14.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 26145001700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26145001700?

Census tract 26145001700 in the Old Saginaw City neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26145001700?

Median gross rent is $699/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26145001700?

41.3% of residents in tract 26145001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,516.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26145001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 39th, minority 74th, housing 98th.

Is tract 26145001700 considered part of Old Saginaw City?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26145001700 fall within Old Saginaw City (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26145001700 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26145001700 compare to Saginaw overall?

Tract 26145001700 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Saginaw at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26145001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saginaw

Top eight tracts in Saginaw ranked by composite eviction-risk score.