Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Germantown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Ann Arbor
Tract 26161980101 · Washtenaw County, MI · pop 4,233 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 7.2/10, tract 26161980101 in the Germantown area of Ann Arbor, MI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,233. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 72%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units587
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate64.9%
Median income$37,648
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ann Arbor and the region
Centroid at 42.2765, -83.7375 · click any tract to drill in
Why Germantown scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ann Arbor
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
64.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,300 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ann Arbor
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ann Arbor
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ann Arbor
5.0
How Germantown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Germantown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.3%Housing insecurity
- 14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.6%Food insecurity
- 31.8%SNAP enrollment
- 21.7%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 29.8%Frequent mental distress
- 36.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Germantown
72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Washtenaw County average of 46.5%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 65%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $37,648, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
It sits 2.2 points above the Washtenaw County average of 5.0. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. SNAP participation runs 31.8% against 15.2% nationally.
At $1,300 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Ann Arbor commands. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 26161980101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26161980101?
Census tract 26161980101 in the Germantown neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26161980101?
Median gross rent is $1,300/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26161980101?
64.9% of residents in tract 26161980101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,233.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26161980101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 1th, minority 56th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 26161980101 considered part of Germantown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26161980101 fall within Germantown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 26161980101 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 26161980101 compare to Ann Arbor overall?
Tract 26161980101 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Ann Arbor at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ann Arbor eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ann Arbor
Top eight tracts in Ann Arbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MI
Colonial Square Cooperative
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Kerrytown
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
North Burns Park
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Germantown
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Uplands of Scio Ridge
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Kerrytown
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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