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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Old Fourth Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated , Ann Arbor

Tract 26161400800 · Washtenaw County, MI · pop 3,665 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

26161400800 is a census tract in the Old Fourth Ward area of Ann Arbor, MI. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,665. The severe-burden share is 53%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 72% Stable renters 26% Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units1,418
Renter share98.9%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate65.8%
Median income$36,316

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Old Fourth Ward
Very High
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 41 tracts In Ann Arbor
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 107 tracts In Washtenaw County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ann Arbor and the region

Centroid at 42.2844, -83.7392 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Fourth Ward scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ann Arbor
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
65.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,612 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ann Arbor
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ann Arbor
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ann Arbor
5.0

How Old Fourth Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Fourth Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.2This tracttract 4008005.8Ann Arborparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.4%Peak (2014)
  • 4Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Fourth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Fourth Ward

73% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Washtenaw County average of 46.5%. Annualized rent equals 53% of average household income of $36,316, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 66%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. SNAP participation runs 35.8% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 2.2 points above the Washtenaw County average of 5.0. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Food insecurity runs 34.5% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions over 1 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 0.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.4% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 26161400800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26161400800?

Census tract 26161400800 in the Old Fourth Ward neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26161400800?

Median gross rent is $1,612/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26161400800?

65.8% of residents in tract 26161400800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,665.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26161400800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 0th, minority 49th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 26161400800 considered part of Old Fourth Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26161400800 fall within Old Fourth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 26161400800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 26161400800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.39% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 26161400800 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 26161400800 compare to Ann Arbor overall?

Tract 26161400800 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Ann Arbor at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ann Arbor eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ann Arbor

Top eight tracts in Ann Arbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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