College Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

SNAP participation is 52.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.6/10.

The poverty rate is 39%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average household income of $33,003 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 43.7% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.9/10.

Among the 130 mapped neighborhoods of Detroit, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Pembroke and Chandler Park score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $1,080, close to the Detroit average. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.