West End Eviction Risk: Elevated

32.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 9.6/10.

The poverty rate is 41%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.1/10. Average gross rent is $754, 30% below the Detroit average of $1,074.

Disability prevalence reaches 49.3% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Among the 130 mapped neighborhoods of Detroit, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.