Pingree Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

31.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation is 56.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 38%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 8.3/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

Average gross rent is $823, 23% below the Detroit average of $1,074. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. That places it #3 of 130 neighborhoods in Detroit.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Chandler Park and Michigan-Martin. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.