Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Harvest West Eviction Risk: Lower , Chaska
Tract 27019091002 · Carver County, MN · pop 6,629 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Harvest West neighborhood of Chaska anchors census tract 27019091002, which lands at 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,824 a month against an average household income of $164,875 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,285
Renter share18.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$164,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chaska and the region
Centroid at 44.7989, -93.6264 · click any tract to drill in
Why Harvest West scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chaska
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,824 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chaska
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chaska
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chaska
3.9
How Harvest West compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 19.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Harvest West
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chaska eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Carver County average of 4.4 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27019091002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019091002?
Census tract 27019091002 in the Harvest West neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27019091002?
Median gross rent is $1,824/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27019091002?
3.6% of residents in tract 27019091002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,629.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27019091002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 49th, minority 26th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 27019091002 considered part of Harvest West?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27019091002 fall within Harvest West (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 27019091002 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27019091002 compare to Chaska overall?
Tract 27019091002 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Chaska at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chaska eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chaska
Top eight tracts in Chaska ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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