Harvest West Eviction Risk: Lower , Chaska

Cost burden runs 49% here against 38.4% across Carver County. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.1% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,824, 17% above the Chaska average.

That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $164,875, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Carver County average of 3.9 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.