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Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Chaska Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27019091001 · Carver County, MN · pop 5,168

Census tract 27019091001 covers part of Chaska, MN, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,168 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 35% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,147
Renter share56.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$71,028

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Chaska
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 25 tracts In Carver County
Very High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#392 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chaska and the region

Centroid at 44.7963, -93.5786 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chaska scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chaska
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,236 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chaska
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chaska
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chaska
3.9

How Chaska compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chaska risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0910014.0Chaskaparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chaska

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Carver County average of 3.9.

At $1,236 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Chaska commands. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $71,028. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27019091001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019091001?

Census tract 27019091001 in Chaska scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27019091001?

Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27019091001?

4.9% of residents in tract 27019091001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,168.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27019091001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 90th, minority 51th, housing 99th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 27019091001 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27019091001 compare to Chaska overall?

Tract 27019091001 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chaska at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chaska eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chaska

Top eight tracts in Chaska ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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