Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Chaska Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27019091001 ·
Carver County, MN · pop 5,168
Census tract 27019091001 covers part of Chaska, MN, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,168 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%Stable renters 35%Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,147
Renter share56.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$71,028
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 6 tracts In Chaska
Very High
Within county
92th percentile
#3 of 25 tracts In Carver County
Very High
Within state
74th percentile
#392 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
65th percentile
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chaska and the region
Centroid at 44.7963, -93.5786 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chaska scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chaska
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,236 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chaska
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chaska
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chaska
3.9
How Chaska compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.9%Housing insecurity
7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
16.2%Food insecurity
10.9%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
12.0%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chaska
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Carver County average of 3.9.
At $1,236 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Chaska commands. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $71,028. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27019091001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019091001?
Census tract 27019091001 in Chaska scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27019091001?
Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27019091001?
4.9% of residents in tract 27019091001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,168.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27019091001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 90th, minority 51th, housing 99th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27019091001 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27019091001 compare to Chaska overall?
Tract 27019091001 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chaska at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chaska eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chaska
Top eight tracts in Chaska ranked by composite eviction-risk score.