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Census Tract · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Chaska Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27019091001 · Carver County, MN · pop 5,168

Eviction risk in Chaska eviction risk centers on tract 27019091001, which scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,168 residents. That is riskier than roughly 23% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,236 a month while the average household earns $71,028 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 57% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 35% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,147
Renter share56.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$71,028

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Chaska
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 25 tracts In Carver County
High
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,016 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#68,306 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chaska and the region

Centroid at 44.7963, -93.5786 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chaska scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chaska
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,236 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chaska
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chaska
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chaska
3.9

How Chaska compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chaska risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 091001Chaska: 4.74.7Chaskaparent cityCounty: 1.61.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chaska

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chaska eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Carver County average of 4.4 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27019091001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019091001?

Census tract 27019091001 in Chaska scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27019091001?

Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27019091001?

4.9% of residents in tract 27019091001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,168.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27019091001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 90th, minority 51th, housing 99th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 27019091001 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27019091001 compare to Chaska overall?

Tract 27019091001 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chaska at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chaska eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chaska

Top eight tracts in Chaska ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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