Chevalle Eviction Risk: Lower , Chaska

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 125% over what the rest of Chaska commands.

The voucher gap is 107.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Disability prevalence runs 18.7% against 31.5% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.6% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Carver County average of 3.9 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.