Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Chevalle Eviction Risk: Lower , Chaska
Tract 27019090802 · Carver County, MN · pop 2,235 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 27019090802 sits in the Chevalle neighborhood of Chaska eviction risk, Minnesota eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It lands near the 16th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
18% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $228,571 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units748
Renter share4.4%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$228,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chaska and the region
Centroid at 44.8438, -93.6313 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chevalle scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chaska
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chaska
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chaska
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chaska
3.9
How Chevalle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chevalle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 3.1%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 3.6%No health insurance
- 11.9%Frequent mental distress
- 18.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chevalle
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chaska eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Carver County average of 4.4 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27019090802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019090802?
Census tract 27019090802 in the Chevalle neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27019090802?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27019090802?
1.9% of residents in tract 27019090802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,235.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27019090802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 54th, minority 26th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 27019090802 considered part of Chevalle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27019090802 fall within Chevalle (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 27019090802 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27019090802 compare to Chaska overall?
Tract 27019090802 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Chaska at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chaska eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chaska
Top eight tracts in Chaska ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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