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Census Tract · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Burnsville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27037060709 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,975

Here is how census tract 27037060709, in Burnsville eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,975. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 71% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,447 a month against an average household income of $95,161 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 6% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,020
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$95,161

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
Elevated
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
High
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#790 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
National
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#54,934 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnsville and the region

Centroid at 44.7591, -93.3169 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnsville scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,447 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0

How Burnsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnsville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 060709Burnsville: 4.94.9Burnsvilleparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 174Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak (2009)
  • 27Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370607092009: 45 filings (11.62/100 renter HHs)2010: 32 filings (6.58/100 renter HHs)2011: 41 filings (8.82/100 renter HHs)2012: 29 filings (6.24/100 renter HHs)2013: 27 filings (5.81/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnsville

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060709

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060709?

Census tract 27037060709 in Burnsville scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060709?

Median gross rent is $1,447/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060709?

11.4% of residents in tract 27037060709 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,975.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060709?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 43th, minority 58th, housing 60th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060709?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 174 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060709 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.81% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060709 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060709 compare to Burnsville overall?

Tract 27037060709 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville

Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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