Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

West St. Paul Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27037060105 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,656

West St. Paul in Dakota County anchors census tract 27037060105, which lands at 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #36,282 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,193 a month while the average household earns $47,034 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 28% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,874
Renter share64.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$47,034

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In West St. Paul
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#261 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,554 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across West St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9000, -93.0752 · click any tract to drill in

Why West St. Paul scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from West St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,193 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West St. Paul
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.5

How West St. Paul compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West St. Paul risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 060105West St. Paul: 5.15.1West St. Paulparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 101Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak (2009)
  • 15Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370601052009: 25 filings (2.05/100 renter HHs)2010: 23 filings (1.56/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)2012: 23 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West St. Paul

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from West St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060105?

Census tract 27037060105 in West St. Paul scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060105?

Median gross rent is $1,193/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060105?

14.5% of residents in tract 27037060105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,656.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 76th, minority 63th, housing 93th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060105?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 101 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.52% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060105 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060105 compare to West St. Paul overall?

Tract 27037060105 scores 5.1/10, right in line with the parent city of West St. Paul at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in West St. Paul

Top eight tracts in West St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related