Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
West St. Paul Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27037060105 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,656
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 27037060105 in West St. Paul, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,656 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,874
Renter share64.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$47,034
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across West St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9000, -93.0752 · click any tract to drill in
Why West St. Paul scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,193 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West St. Paul
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.5
How West St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 101Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.1%Peak (2009)
- 15Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.0%Food insecurity
- 14.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.4%Transit barriers
- 14.6%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West St. Paul
56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Dakota County average of 45.6%. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.1/10. Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 101 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2009, when 2.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060105?
Census tract 27037060105 in West St. Paul scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060105?
Median gross rent is $1,193/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060105?
14.5% of residents in tract 27037060105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,656.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 76th, minority 63th, housing 93th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060105?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 101 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.52% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060105 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060105 compare to West St. Paul overall?
Tract 27037060105 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of West St. Paul at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West St. Paul
Top eight tracts in West St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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