Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Shadow Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Maple Grove
Tract 27053026721 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,806 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
27053026721 is a census tract in the Shadow Creek area of Maple Grove, MN. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,806. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,156
Renter share1.5%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$121,623
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maple Grove and the region
Centroid at 45.0923, -93.4674 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shadow Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maple Grove
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,050 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maple Grove
3.7
How Shadow Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 7Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.56×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shadow Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shadow Creek
It sits 2.1 points below the Hennepin County average of 5.1. The voucher gap is 21.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Food insecurity runs 7.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.2/10. At $2,050 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Maple Grove commands.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 1% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053026721
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026721?
Census tract 27053026721 in the Shadow Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053026721?
Median gross rent is $2,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026721?
1.5% of residents in tract 27053026721 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,806.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026721?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 7th, minority 19th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 27053026721 considered part of Shadow Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026721 fall within Shadow Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053026721 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053026721 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053026721 compare to Maple Grove overall?
Tract 27053026721 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Maple Grove at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maple Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maple Grove
Top eight tracts in Maple Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27053026707
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Shadow Creek
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Rolling Hills North
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026724
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026706
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026712
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026708
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026713
3
/ 10 · Low
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