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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Lowry Hill East Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis

Tract 27053106700 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 5,024 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

27053106700 is a census tract in the Lowry Hill East area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,024 residents. It sits 2.6 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 58% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units3,152
Renter share88.5%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$62,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lowry Hill East
Very High
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#60 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Moderate
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#57 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region

Centroid at 44.9571, -93.2917 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lowry Hill East scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,237 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0

How Lowry Hill East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lowry Hill East risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.77.7This tracttract 106700Minneapolis: 6.66.6Minneapolisparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 185Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak (2009)
  • 29Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270531067002009: 46 filings (1.94/100 renter HHs)2010: 31 filings (1.28/100 renter HHs)2011: 41 filings (1.70/100 renter HHs)2012: 38 filings (1.58/100 renter HHs)2013: 29 filings (1.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 307Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.06×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (1.42× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (3.62× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (1.53× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (1.89× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.72× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2022-06-01: 6 filings (3.70× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-08-01: 11 filings (6.29× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (2.17× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-01-01: 12 filings (5.04× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (1.91× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (1.89× baseline)2023-04-01: 7 filings (5.07× baseline)2023-05-01: 7 filings (2.55× baseline)2023-06-01: 7 filings (4.32× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (1.91× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-12-01: 9 filings (5.14× baseline)2024-01-01: 10 filings (4.20× baseline)2024-02-01: 8 filings (3.05× baseline)2024-03-01: 6 filings (2.83× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (2.90× baseline)2024-05-01: 7 filings (2.55× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (1.85× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-08-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2024-09-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2024-10-01: 6 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-11-01: 7 filings (5.07× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (2.10× baseline)2025-02-01: 10 filings (3.82× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.47× baseline)2025-04-01: 7 filings (5.07× baseline)2025-05-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (1.85× baseline)2025-07-01: 12 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 7 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 6 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (1.53× baseline)2025-11-01: 5 filings (3.62× baseline)2025-12-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2026-01-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lowry Hill East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lowry Hill East

88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 185 evictions over 5 years of observation. At $1,237 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 1.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053106700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053106700?

Census tract 27053106700 in the Lowry Hill East neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053106700?

Median gross rent is $1,237/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053106700?

11.5% of residents in tract 27053106700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,024.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053106700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 0th, minority 51th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 27053106700 considered part of Lowry Hill East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053106700 fall within Lowry Hill East (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053106700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 185 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053106700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.54% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27053106700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.06× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27053106700 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27053106700 compare to Minneapolis overall?

Tract 27053106700 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27053106700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis

Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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