Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Saint Anthony East Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053103100 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,264 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 27053103100 sits in the Saint Anthony East area of Minneapolis eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. It is home to 2,264 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,119
Renter share62.7%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$76,910
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9956, -93.2527 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saint Anthony East scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,307 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Saint Anthony East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 83%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 120Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2012)
- 15Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 92Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saint Anthony East
Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened.
18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 120 evictions over 5 years of observation.
SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2012, when 3.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.6 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053103100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053103100?
Census tract 27053103100 in the Saint Anthony East neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053103100?
Median gross rent is $1,307/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053103100?
9.4% of residents in tract 27053103100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,264.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053103100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 23th, minority 54th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 27053103100 considered part of Saint Anthony East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053103100 fall within Saint Anthony East (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053103100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 120 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053103100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.31% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053103100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053103100 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053103100 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053103100 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053103100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 83% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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