Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Roseville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123041302 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,577
27123041302 is a census tract in Roseville, MN. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,577 residents. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,802
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$66,727
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roseville and the region
Centroid at 45.0324, -93.1900 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roseville scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roseville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,629 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roseville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roseville
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roseville
5.4
How Roseville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 40Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2009)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 142Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 4.12×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roseville
Cost burden runs 60% here against 47.3% across Ramsey County. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
At $1,629 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Roseville commands. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 40 filings here across 7 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 6.9/10.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 2.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041302?
Census tract 27123041302 in Roseville scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041302?
Median gross rent is $1,629/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041302?
15.6% of residents in tract 27123041302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,577.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 39th, minority 39th, housing 82th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.83% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 4.12× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041302 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041302 compare to Roseville overall?
Tract 27123041302 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Roseville at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roseville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roseville
Top eight tracts in Roseville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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