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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Highland Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul

Tract 27123036300 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,788 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 27123036300 covers part of the Highland Village area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 12% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,450
Renter share24.8%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$108,889

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Highland Village
High
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 85 tracts In St. Paul
Very Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#84 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Moderate
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#392 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9253, -93.1834 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highland Village scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,390 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5

How Highland Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highland Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0363006.5St. Paulparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 0.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.6%Peak (2011)
  • 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27123036300

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 12Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.23×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highland Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highland Village

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally. Cost burden runs 53% here against 47.3% across Ramsey County.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 filings here across 6 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 0.6% of renter households. At $1,390 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of St. Paul commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 0.4% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123036300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123036300?

Census tract 27123036300 in the Highland Village neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123036300?

Median gross rent is $1,390/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123036300?

5.3% of residents in tract 27123036300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,788.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123036300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 24th, minority 26th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 27123036300 considered part of Highland Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123036300 fall within Highland Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123036300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 27123036300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.42% of renter households, peaking at 0.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27123036300 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27123036300 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27123036300 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123036300 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27123036300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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