Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Roseville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123041601 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 6,125
Census tract 27123041601 covers part of Roseville, MN, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,125 residents. Cost burden runs 33% here against 47.3% across Ramsey County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,627
Renter share29.5%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$89,453
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roseville and the region
Centroid at 45.0226, -93.1156 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roseville scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roseville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,297 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roseville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roseville
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roseville
5.4
How Roseville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 210Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2010)
- 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 306Total filings 2020-21
- 4.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roseville
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7.5/10. Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.6/10. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 210 filings here across 7 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 6.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041601?
Census tract 27123041601 in Roseville scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041601?
Median gross rent is $1,297/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041601?
10.2% of residents in tract 27123041601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,125.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 35th, minority 51th, housing 57th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 210 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.76% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041601 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041601 compare to Roseville overall?
Tract 27123041601 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Roseville at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roseville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roseville
Top eight tracts in Roseville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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