Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Roseville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123041602 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,367
27123041602 is a census tract in Roseville, MN. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,566
Renter share52.6%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$67,143
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roseville and the region
Centroid at 45.0001, -93.1098 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roseville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roseville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,350 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roseville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roseville
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roseville
5.4
How Roseville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 166Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2013)
- 20Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 187Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.2%Food insecurity
- 9.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roseville
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 7.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 166 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
It sits 0.8 points below the Ramsey County average of 5.6. The worst year on record was 2013, when 3.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters.
Average gross rent is $1,350, close to the Roseville average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $67,143.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041602?
Census tract 27123041602 in Roseville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041602?
Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041602?
10.6% of residents in tract 27123041602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,367.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 32th, minority 54th, housing 97th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 166 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.63% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041602 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041602 compare to Roseville overall?
Tract 27123041602 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Roseville at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roseville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roseville
Top eight tracts in Roseville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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