Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul
Tract 27123043001 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,401 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 27123043001 covers part of the Highland Village area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,401. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,138
Renter share36.8%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$116,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9252, -93.1943 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Village scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,313 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Highland Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 66%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 30Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.33×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Highland Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.7%Food insecurity
- 4.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland Village
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 4.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally.
This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.9/10.
Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $116,250, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123043001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123043001?
Census tract 27123043001 in the Highland Village neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123043001?
Median gross rent is $1,313/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123043001?
5.7% of residents in tract 27123043001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,401.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123043001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 31th, minority 16th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 27123043001 considered part of Highland Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123043001 fall within Highland Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123043001 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123043001 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123043001 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123043001 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 27123043001 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
South Saint Anthony Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Iris Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highwood Hills
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highland
7.9
/ 10 · High
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