Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123037601 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,310 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 27123037601 sits in the Highland Village area of St. Paul, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. It is home to 4,310 residents. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,026
Renter share53.1%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$80,950
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9053, -93.1881 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Village scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,270 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Highland Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 41%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 113Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.7%Peak (2013)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 119Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.56×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Highland Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland Village
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 38% here against 47.3% across Ramsey County.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 113 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 2.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123037601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123037601?
Census tract 27123037601 in the Highland Village neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123037601?
Median gross rent is $1,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123037601?
7.7% of residents in tract 27123037601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,310.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123037601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 59th, minority 27th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 27123037601 considered part of Highland Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123037601 fall within Highland Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123037601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 113 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123037601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.85% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123037601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123037601 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123037601 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123037601 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123037601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 41% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
South Saint Anthony Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Iris Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highwood Hills
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highland
7.9
/ 10 · High
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