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Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Highland Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 21,748 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.1–6.1

Highland Village takes in 5 census tracts of St. Paul, MN and houses 21,748 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.3/10, Moderate tier. 49% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the St. Paul rate of 30.0%.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.1 to 6.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Filings are well documented here: 237 across 4 observed tracts. 4.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 3.1% of renter households. 4.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

The most recent observed rate, 1.2% in 2015, is well off that peak. At $1,363 a month, rents sit 6% over what the rest of St. Paul commands.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Highland Village vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.1% +64%
St. Paul: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,363 +6%
St. Paul: $1,281
Average HH income
$111,478 +46%
St. Paul: $76,411
Poverty rate
5.8% -63%
St. Paul: 15.8%
Renter share
32.7% -31%
St. Paul: 47.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Highland Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 5.1–6.1

Why Highland Village scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
33% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
5.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.2 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–4.4 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Highland Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Highland Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3Highland VillageNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Highland Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 5.1 to 6.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Highland Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123037601 6.1 4,310 38% $1,270
27123036300 5.2 3,788 53% $1,390
27123037500 5.1 5,358 54% $1,299
27123043001 5.1 4,401 60% $1,313
27123036400 5.1 3,891 39% $1,586
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 13%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 29%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Highland Village

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 237Total filings (sum)
  • 1.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.1%Peak year (2014)
  • 1.22%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 250Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly observed
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.12×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Highland Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Highland Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Highland Village?

Highland Village scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Highland Village compare to St. Paul overall?

Highland Village scores 1.2 points lower than St. Paul overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,363 vs $1,281.
Q3

What is the average rent in Highland Village?

Average gross rent in Highland Village is $1,363/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Highland Village residents are renters?

33% of Highland Village households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 21,748 residents.
Q5

Is Highland Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Highland Village sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Highland Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Highland Village is census tract 27123037601 (score 6.1/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 6.1, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Highland Village for landlords?

Highland Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Highland Village?

Highland Village has 21,362 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.9%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%), Hispanic / Latino (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Highland Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Highland Village.

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