Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Lake Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163070108 · Washington County, MN · pop 3,393
Here is how census tract 27163070108, in Forest Lake eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,393. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
70% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,990 monthly, set against $119,647 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share3.6%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$119,647
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
14
th percentile
Very Low
National
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forest Lake and the region
Centroid at 45.2310, -92.9436 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Lake scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forest Lake
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,990 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Lake
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Lake
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Lake
5.2
How Forest Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Lake
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forest Lake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 5.1 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070108
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070108?
Census tract 27163070108 in Forest Lake scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163070108?
Median gross rent is $1,990/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070108?
3.3% of residents in tract 27163070108 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,393.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070108?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 44th, minority 13th, housing 10th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27163070108 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27163070108 compare to Forest Lake overall?
Tract 27163070108 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Forest Lake at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forest Lake
Top eight tracts in Forest Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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