Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Lake Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163070107 · Washington County, MN · pop 3,913
In Forest Lake, census tract 27163070107 scores 5.4/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,335 a month against an average household income of $88,818 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,372
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$88,818
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
National
15
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forest Lake and the region
Centroid at 45.2323, -93.0088 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Lake scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forest Lake
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,335 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Lake
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Lake
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Lake
5.2
How Forest Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.4%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Lake
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forest Lake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 5.1 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070107?
Census tract 27163070107 in Forest Lake scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163070107?
Median gross rent is $1,335/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070107?
5.6% of residents in tract 27163070107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,913.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 62th, minority 34th, housing 19th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27163070107 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27163070107 compare to Forest Lake overall?
Tract 27163070107 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Forest Lake at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forest Lake
Top eight tracts in Forest Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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