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Census Tract · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Lake Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27163070105 · Washington County, MN · pop 4,414

Tract 27163070105, home to 4,414 residents in Forest Lake, scores 5.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,878 a month against an average household income of $153,533 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,663
Renter share3.7%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$153,533

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Forest Lake
Very Low
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 59 tracts In Washington County
Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#1,372 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
National
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#81,634 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Lake and the region

Centroid at 45.2818, -92.9360 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Lake scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Forest Lake
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,878 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Lake
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Lake
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Lake
5.2

How Forest Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 070105Forest Lake: 4.94.9Forest Lakeparent cityCounty: 1.81.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 6.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.9%Peak (2011)
  • 7Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 271630701052010: 3 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2011: 10 filings (9.90/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (6.93/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Lake

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forest Lake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 5.1 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27163070105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070105?

Census tract 27163070105 in Forest Lake scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27163070105?

Median gross rent is $1,878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070105?

2.7% of residents in tract 27163070105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,414.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 5th, minority 9th, housing 3th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070105?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.83% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27163070105 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27163070105 compare to Forest Lake overall?

Tract 27163070105 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Forest Lake at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Forest Lake

Top eight tracts in Forest Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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