Forest Lake Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163070105 · Washington County, MN · pop 4,414
Tract 27163070105, home to 4,414 residents in Forest Lake, scores 5.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,878 a month against an average household income of $153,533 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Forest Lake and the region
Centroid at 45.2818, -92.9360 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Lake scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Forest Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 3 yrs
- 6.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2011)
- 7Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Forest Lake
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forest Lake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 5.1 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 27163070105
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070105?
What is the average rent in tract 27163070105?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070105?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070105?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070105?
What share of households in tract 27163070105 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27163070105 compare to Forest Lake overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Forest Lake
Top eight tracts in Forest Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.