Forest Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27163070104 · Washington County, MN · pop 3,235
With a score of 5/10, tract 27163070104 in Forest Lake, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,235 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Forest Lake and the region
Centroid at 45.2686, -92.9664 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Lake scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Forest Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 31Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2010)
- 11Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.8%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Forest Lake
Cost burden runs around a third here against 44.0% across Washington County. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
At $1,064 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Forest Lake commands. It sits 0.9 points above the Washington County average of 4.1. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 31 filings here across 3 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 4.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $72,604, annual rent is just 18%. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 27163070104
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070104?
What is the average rent in tract 27163070104?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070104?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070104?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070104?
What share of households in tract 27163070104 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27163070104 compare to Forest Lake overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Forest Lake
Top eight tracts in Forest Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.