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Neighborhood · Oakdale, MN

Beaver Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,858 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Beaver Lake is a one-tract neighborhood of Oakdale, MN and houses 2,858 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 47%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 69% against 31.9% citywide, putting Beaver Lake 36.9% over its own city. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10.

Court records for this tract carry 88 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 4.9% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 3.3% in 2012 against a 4.9% peak. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,481, close to the Oakdale average.

51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Beaver Lake vs Oakdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
68.8% +116%
Oakdale: 31.9%
Average gross rent
$1,481 +0%
Oakdale: $1,481
Average HH income
$53,015 -41%
Oakdale: $90,379
Poverty rate
13.2% +119%
Oakdale: 6.0%
Renter share
50.9% +126%
Oakdale: 22.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Beaver Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Beaver Lake scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
69% of income on rent · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
51% renter households · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Economic stress
13.2% below poverty line · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Beaver Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Beaver Lake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5Beaver LakeNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Beaver Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27163070912 5.5 2,858 69% $1,481
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 98%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Beaver Lake

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 88Total filings (sum)
  • 4.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak year (2011)
  • 3.25%Latest filed (2012)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Beaver Lake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Beaver Lake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Beaver Lake?

Beaver Lake scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Beaver Lake compare to Oakdale overall?

Beaver Lake scores 1.4 points higher than Oakdale overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 69% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,481 vs $1,481.
Q3

What is the average rent in Beaver Lake?

Average gross rent in Beaver Lake is $1,481/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Beaver Lake residents are renters?

51% of Beaver Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 23% in Oakdale). The neighborhood has 2,858 residents.
Q5

Is Beaver Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Beaver Lake sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Beaver Lake for landlords?

Beaver Lake carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakdale as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Beaver Lake?

Beaver Lake has 3,034 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Beaver Lake

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