Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Beaver Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , Oakdale
Tract 27163070912 · Washington County, MN · pop 2,858 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 27163070912 covers the Beaver Lake area of Oakdale in Minnesota. Home to 2,858 residents, it scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #26,894 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 69% of renter households, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,481 a month against an average household income of $53,015 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,385
Renter share50.9%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$53,015
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oakdale and the region
Centroid at 44.9688, -92.9700 · click any tract to drill in
Why Beaver Lake scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oakdale
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,481 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakdale
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakdale
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakdale
5.7
How Beaver Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 88Total filings over 3 yrs
- 4.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2011)
- 24Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.2%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 33.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Beaver Lake
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oakdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 5.1 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070912
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070912?
Census tract 27163070912 in the Beaver Lake neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163070912?
Median gross rent is $1,481/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070912?
13.2% of residents in tract 27163070912 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,858.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070912?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 98th, minority 58th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 27163070912 considered part of Beaver Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27163070912 fall within Beaver Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070912?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 88 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070912 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.19% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27163070912 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27163070912 compare to Oakdale overall?
Tract 27163070912 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Oakdale at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oakdale
Top eight tracts in Oakdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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