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Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Oakdale Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27163070909 · Washington County, MN · pop 5,187

How risky is Oakdale in Washington County for landlords? Census tract 27163070909 scores 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 30% of renter households, a high level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,927 a month against an average household income of $112,946 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 3% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units2,022
Renter share4.6%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$112,946

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Oakdale
Very Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 59 tracts In Washington County
Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#1,319 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
National
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#79,998 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakdale and the region

Centroid at 44.9787, -92.9470 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakdale scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakdale
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,927 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakdale
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakdale
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakdale
5.7

How Oakdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oakdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 070909Oakdale: 4.94.9Oakdaleparent cityCounty: 1.81.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 28Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 8.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.7%Peak (2010)
  • 10Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 271630709092010: 14 filings (15.73/100 renter HHs)2011: 4 filings (3.10/100 renter HHs)2012: 10 filings (7.75/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakdale

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oakdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 5.1 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27163070909

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070909?

Census tract 27163070909 in Oakdale scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27163070909?

Median gross rent is $1,927/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070909?

2.8% of residents in tract 27163070909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,187.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070909?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 22th, minority 52th, housing 10th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070909?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070909 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.86% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27163070909 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27163070909 compare to Oakdale overall?

Tract 27163070909 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Oakdale at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakdale

Top eight tracts in Oakdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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