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Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Oakdale Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27163070909 · Washington County, MN · pop 5,187

27163070909 is a census tract in Oakdale, MN. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 3% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units2,022
Renter share4.6%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$112,946

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Oakdale
Very Low
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 59 tracts In Washington County
Elevated
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#809 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
National
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#50,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakdale and the region

Centroid at 44.9787, -92.9470 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakdale scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakdale
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,927 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakdale
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakdale
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakdale
5.7

How Oakdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oakdale risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0709094.1Oakdaleparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 28Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 8.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.7%Peak (2010)
  • 10Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27163070909
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakdale

Cost burden runs around a third here against 44.0% across Washington County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

At $1,927 a month, rents run 30% over what the rest of Oakdale commands. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 28 evictions over 3 years of observation.

The voucher gap is 14.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2010 at 15.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27163070909

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070909?

Census tract 27163070909 in Oakdale scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27163070909?

Median gross rent is $1,927/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070909?

2.8% of residents in tract 27163070909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,187.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070909?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 22th, minority 52th, housing 10th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070909?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070909 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.86% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27163070909 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27163070909 compare to Oakdale overall?

Tract 27163070909 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Oakdale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakdale

Top eight tracts in Oakdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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