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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Oakdale Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27163070907 · Washington County, MN · pop 6,212

Census tract 27163070907 covers part of Oakdale, MN, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,212. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 24% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,444
Renter share39.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$88,492

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Oakdale
Elevated
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 59 tracts In Washington County
High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#509 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakdale and the region

Centroid at 45.0125, -92.9712 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakdale scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakdale
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,388 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakdale
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakdale
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakdale
5.7

How Oakdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oakdale risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0709074.1Oakdaleparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 59Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 2.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.8%Peak (2010)
  • 20Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27163070907
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakdale

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 59 filings here across 3 tracked years. Against the Washington County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

The worst year on record was 2010, when 2.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,388, close to the Oakdale average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27163070907

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070907?

Census tract 27163070907 in Oakdale scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27163070907?

Median gross rent is $1,388/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070907?

5.3% of residents in tract 27163070907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,212.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070907?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 46th, minority 55th, housing 97th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070907?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 59 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070907 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.37% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27163070907 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27163070907 compare to Oakdale overall?

Tract 27163070907 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Oakdale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakdale

Top eight tracts in Oakdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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