Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Oakdale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27163070911 · Washington County, MN · pop 4,326
27163070911 is a census tract in Oakdale, MN. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,839
Renter share21.4%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$84,087
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oakdale and the region
Centroid at 44.9774, -92.9713 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakdale scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oakdale
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,434 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakdale
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakdale
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakdale
5.7
How Oakdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 40Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2010)
- 12Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.7%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakdale
The main counterweight is economic stress at 2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.
Against the Washington County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 40 filings here across 3 tracked years.
SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters.
Average gross rent is $1,434, close to the Oakdale average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070911
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070911?
Census tract 27163070911 in Oakdale scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163070911?
Median gross rent is $1,434/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070911?
7.9% of residents in tract 27163070911 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,326.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070911?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 68th, minority 53th, housing 40th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070911?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070911 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.73% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163070911 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163070911 compare to Oakdale overall?
Tract 27163070911 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Oakdale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oakdale
Top eight tracts in Oakdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related