Forest Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27163070107 · Washington County, MN · pop 3,913
27163070107 is a census tract in Forest Lake, MN. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,913. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 44.0% across Washington County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Forest Lake and the region
Centroid at 45.2323, -93.0088 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Lake scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Forest Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.4%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Forest Lake
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.9/10. Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Washington County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,335, close to the Forest Lake average.
Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $88,818.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 27163070107
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070107?
What is the average rent in tract 27163070107?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070107?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070107?
What share of households in tract 27163070107 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27163070107 compare to Forest Lake overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Forest Lake
Top eight tracts in Forest Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.