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Census Tract · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Arnold Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29099700113 · Jefferson County, MO · pop 3,734 · 15% of tract blocks fall in Arnold

Eviction risk in Arnold eviction risk centers on tract 29099700113, which scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,734 residents. That is riskier than about 20% of US census tracts.

19% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,156 monthly, set against $96,551 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 5% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 4% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,601
Renter share5.3%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$96,551

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Arnold
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 49 tracts In Jefferson County
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#1,487 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
National
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#76,223 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arnold and the region

Centroid at 38.4318, -90.4355 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arnold scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arnold
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,156 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arnold
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arnold
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arnold
4.2

How Arnold compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arnold risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 700113Arnold: 2.52.5Arnoldparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 195Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 0.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.9%Peak (2012)
  • 16Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 290997001132003: 15 filings (16.30/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (6.52/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 13 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 12 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 20 filings (17.39/100 renter HHs)2011: 18 filings (18.56/100 renter HHs)2012: 28 filings (28.87/100 renter HHs)2013: 12 filings (12.37/100 renter HHs)2014: 11 filings (11.34/100 renter HHs)2015: 15 filings (15.46/100 renter HHs)2016: 14 filings (7.87/100 renter HHs)2017: 16 filings (8.99/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arnold

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arnold eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 4.7 and below the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29099700113

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29099700113?

Census tract 29099700113 in Arnold scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29099700113?

Median gross rent is $1,156/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29099700113?

3.0% of residents in tract 29099700113 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,734.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29099700113?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 10th, minority 7th, housing 21th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29099700113?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 195 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 29099700113 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.00% of renter households, peaking at 28.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 29099700113 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29099700113 compare to Arnold overall?

Tract 29099700113 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Arnold at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arnold eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arnold

Top eight tracts in Arnold ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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