Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Ten Brook Eviction Risk: Lower , Arnold
Tract 29099700121 ·
Jefferson County, MO · pop 3,964 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 29099700121 covers part of the Ten Brook area of Arnold, MO, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,964 residents. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 7%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,542
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$81,538
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Ten Brook
Very High
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 8 tracts In Arnold
Very High
Within county
71th percentile
#15 of 49 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
53th percentile
#782 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arnold and the region
Centroid at 38.4362, -90.3687 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ten Brook scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arnold
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,177 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arnold
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arnold
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arnold
4.2
How Ten Brook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.3%Housing insecurity
7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ten Brook
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.3/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.
Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $81,538, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in three of renters. It tracks the Jefferson County average of 3.5 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,177, close to the Arnold average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29099700121
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29099700121?
Census tract 29099700121 in the Ten Brook neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29099700121?
Median gross rent is $1,177/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29099700121?
12.7% of residents in tract 29099700121 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,964.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29099700121?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 44th, minority 30th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 29099700121 considered part of Ten Brook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29099700121 fall within Ten Brook (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 29099700121 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29099700121 compare to Arnold overall?
Tract 29099700121 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Arnold at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arnold eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arnold
Top eight tracts in Arnold ranked by composite eviction-risk score.