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Census Tract · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Arnold Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29099700115 · Jefferson County, MO · pop 4,234 · 30% of tract blocks fall in Arnold

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 29099700115 in Arnold ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,234 residents. That is riskier than about 26% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 28% of renter households, a moderate level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,097 a month while the average household earns $74,095 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 19% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,735
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$74,095

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Arnold
Moderate
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 49 tracts In Jefferson County
Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,357 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
National
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#69,776 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arnold and the region

Centroid at 38.3928, -90.3580 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arnold scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arnold
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,097 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arnold
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arnold
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arnold
4.2

How Arnold compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arnold risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.32.3This tracttract 700115Arnold: 2.52.5Arnoldparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 212Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 6.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2010)
  • 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 290997001152003: 7 filings (3.19/100 renter HHs)2004: 17 filings (7.74/100 renter HHs)2005: 16 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 15 filings (6.56/100 renter HHs)2008: 16 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2009: 15 filings (6.56/100 renter HHs)2010: 23 filings (9.70/100 renter HHs)2011: 20 filings (10.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 13 filings (6.99/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (10.22/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (8.06/100 renter HHs)2015: 6 filings (3.23/100 renter HHs)2016: 16 filings (4.86/100 renter HHs)2017: 14 filings (4.26/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arnold

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 4.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arnold eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 4.7 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 212 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 6.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.7% of renter households in 2010.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29099700115

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29099700115?

Census tract 29099700115 in Arnold scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29099700115?

Median gross rent is $1,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29099700115?

4.2% of residents in tract 29099700115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,234.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29099700115?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 38th, minority 13th, housing 13th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29099700115?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 212 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 29099700115 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.87% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 29099700115 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29099700115 compare to Arnold overall?

Tract 29099700115 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Arnold at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arnold eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arnold

Top eight tracts in Arnold ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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