Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Arnold Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29099700115 · Jefferson County, MO · pop 4,234 · 30% of tract blocks fall in Arnold
Census tract 29099700115 covers part of Arnold, MO, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,234. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,735
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$74,095
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arnold and the region
Centroid at 38.3928, -90.3580 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arnold scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arnold
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,097 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arnold
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arnold
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arnold
4.2
How Arnold compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 212Total filings over 14 yrs
- 6.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2010)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.0%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arnold
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 212 evictions over 14 years of observation.
28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Jefferson County average of 32.9%. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 9.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $74,095, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29099700115
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29099700115?
Census tract 29099700115 in Arnold scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29099700115?
Median gross rent is $1,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29099700115?
4.2% of residents in tract 29099700115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,234.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29099700115?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 38th, minority 13th, housing 13th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29099700115?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 212 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 29099700115 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.87% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29099700115 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29099700115 compare to Arnold overall?
Tract 29099700115 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Arnold at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arnold eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arnold
Top eight tracts in Arnold ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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