2 census tracts · pop 5,828 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10
· range 5.1–5.6
Patch takes in 2 census tracts of St. Louis, MO, population 5,828. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. 53% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the St. Louis rate of 28.2%.
Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. SNAP participation is 33.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Food insecurity affects 33.8% of adults, 16.0 points above the national rate.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. Court records carry 2,227 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.4/10. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 16.2% of renter households. At $916 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of St. Louis commands.
Recent filings have not receded much: 10.3% in 2017 against a 16.2% peak. That places it #22 of 69 neighborhoods in St. Louis. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 5.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Patch vs St. LouisHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Patch
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,227Total filings (sum)
10.33%Avg annual filing rate
16.2%Peak year (2012)
10.17%Latest filed (2017)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
947Total filings 2020-21
6.0Avg monthly observed
7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Patch
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
27.6%Housing insecurity
23.1%Utility shutoff threat
34.0%Food insecurity
34.0%SNAP enrollment
14.7%No health insurance
46.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Patch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Patch?
Patch scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Patch compare to St. Louis overall?
Patch scores 1.1 points higher than St. Louis overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $916 vs $997.
Q3
What is the average rent in Patch?
Average gross rent in Patch is $916/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Patch residents are renters?
56% of Patch households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 5,828 residents.
Q5
Is Patch a high social-vulnerability area?
Patch sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Patch have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Patch is census tract 29510101500 (score 5.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 5.6, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Patch for landlords?
Patch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Patch?
Patch has 6,202 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.1%), Hispanic / Latino (17.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
