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Neighborhood · St. Louis, MO

Patch Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,828 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.3–5.8

Patch is a white-black neighborhood in St. Louis with 2 census tracts and a population of 5,828 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $916/month sits 8% lower than the St. Louis citywide average ($997).

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Patch vs St. Louis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.8% +87%
St. Louis: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$916 -8%
St. Louis: $997
Average HH income
$44,350 -23%
St. Louis: $57,574
Poverty rate
29.5% +47%
St. Louis: 20.0%
Renter share
56.3% +3%
St. Louis: 54.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Patch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.3–5.8

Why Patch scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
56% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
29.5% below poverty line · Range 6.2–8.8 across tracts
7.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–3.0 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Patch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Patch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Patch: 5.55.5PatchNeighborhoodParent city: 3.33.3Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Patch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29510101500 5.8 2,682 70% $973
29510101800 5.3 3,146 38% $868
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 93%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 56%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Patch

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,227Total filings (sum)
  • 10.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.2%Peak year (2012)
  • 10.17%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 947Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.0Avg monthly observed
  • 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.86×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Patch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Patch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Patch?

Patch scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Patch compare to St. Louis overall?

Patch scores 2.2 points higher than St. Louis overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $916 vs $997.
Q3

What is the average rent in Patch?

Average gross rent in Patch is $916/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Patch residents are renters?

56% of Patch households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 5,828 residents.
Q5

Is Patch a high social-vulnerability area?

Patch sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Patch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Patch is census tract 29510101500 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 5.8, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Patch for landlords?

Patch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Patch?

Patch has 6,202 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.1%), Hispanic / Latino (17.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Patch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Louis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Patch.

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