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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Patch Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis

Tract 29510101800 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,146 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 29510101800 in the Patch area of St. Louis ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,146 residents. That is riskier than about 68% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $868 a month while the average household earns $48,922 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 33% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,288
Renter share53.1%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate24.7%
Median income$48,922

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Patch
Very Low
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 104 tracts In St. Louis
Elevated
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#40 of 104 tracts In St. Louis city
Elevated
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.5469, -90.2546 · click any tract to drill in

Why Patch scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
24.7% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$868 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0

How Patch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Patch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 101800St. Louis: 3.33.3St. Louisparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 777Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 8.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2012)
  • 68Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 295101018002004: 37 filings (5.47/100 renter HHs)2005: 62 filings (9.20/100 renter HHs)2006: 59 filings (8.75/100 renter HHs)2007: 58 filings (8.61/100 renter HHs)2008: 69 filings (10.24/100 renter HHs)2009: 56 filings (8.31/100 renter HHs)2010: 56 filings (8.74/100 renter HHs)2011: 62 filings (8.24/100 renter HHs)2012: 72 filings (9.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 63 filings (8.38/100 renter HHs)2015: 69 filings (9.18/100 renter HHs)2016: 46 filings (6.13/100 renter HHs)2017: 68 filings (9.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 84% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 320Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.90×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-03-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2020-07-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-10-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2020-11-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-01-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-10-01: 6 filings (1.26× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-01-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-03-01: 11 filings (2.20× baseline)2023-04-01: 12 filings (3.20× baseline)2023-05-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2023-08-01: 6 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-09-01: 11 filings (2.32× baseline)2023-10-01: 9 filings (1.89× baseline)2023-11-01: 9 filings (2.57× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2024-03-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-04-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-05-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (1.45× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.24× baseline)2024-09-01: 5 filings (1.05× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2025-02-01: 8 filings (1.52× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2025-06-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 6 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2025-09-01: 7 filings (1.47× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2025-11-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Patch

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 47% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29510101800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510101800?

Census tract 29510101800 in the Patch neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29510101800?

Median gross rent is $868/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29510101800?

24.7% of residents in tract 29510101800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,146.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29510101800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 82th, minority 66th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 29510101800 considered part of Patch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510101800 fall within Patch (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510101800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 777 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510101800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.45% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 29510101800 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 29510101800 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 29510101800 compare to St. Louis overall?

Tract 29510101800 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 29510101800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 47% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis

Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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