Patch Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510101500 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,682 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 29510101500 in the Patch area of St. Louis, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,682. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 41.6% across St. Louis City.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5485, -90.2645 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patch scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Patch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 63%Grade C
- 31%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,450Total filings over 13 yrs
- 12.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.2%Peak (2012)
- 114Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 627Total filings 2020-21
- 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.1%Housing insecurity
- 21.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.1%Food insecurity
- 30.4%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 22.6%Frequent mental distress
- 43.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Patch
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. Food insecurity runs 31.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.1% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 1.2 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4. Court records carry 1,450 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 16.2% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 29510101500
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510101500?
What is the average rent in tract 29510101500?
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510101500?
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510101500?
Is tract 29510101500 considered part of Patch?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510101500?
Did eviction filings in tract 29510101500 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 29510101500 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 29510101500 compare to St. Louis overall?
Was tract 29510101500 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.