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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Patch Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis

Tract 29510101500 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,682 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 29510101500 in the Patch area of St. Louis, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,682. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 41.6% across St. Louis City.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 18% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,233
Renter share60.1%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate35.2%
Median income$38,986

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Patch
Very High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 104 tracts In St. Louis
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 104 tracts In St. Louis city
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.5485, -90.2645 · click any tract to drill in

Why Patch scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
35.2% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$973 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0

How Patch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Patch risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 1015004.2St. Louisparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,450Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 12.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.2%Peak (2012)
  • 114Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29510101500
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 627Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 10.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Patch

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. Food insecurity runs 31.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.1% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 1.2 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4. Court records carry 1,450 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 16.2% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29510101500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510101500?

Census tract 29510101500 in the Patch neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29510101500?

Median gross rent is $973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29510101500?

35.2% of residents in tract 29510101500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,682.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29510101500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 25th, minority 62th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 29510101500 considered part of Patch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510101500 fall within Patch (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510101500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,450 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510101500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.54% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 29510101500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 29510101500 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 29510101500 compare to St. Louis overall?

Tract 29510101500 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 29510101500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis

Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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