Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Patch Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510101500 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,682 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Patch area of St. Louis is where census tract 29510101500 sits, home to 2,682 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #11,062 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
70% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $973 monthly, set against $38,986 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,233
Renter share60.1%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate35.2%
Median income$38,986
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5485, -90.2645 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patch scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
35.2% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$973 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Patch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 63%Grade C
- 31%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,450Total filings over 13 yrs
- 12.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.2%Peak (2012)
- 114Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 627Total filings 2020-21
- 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.1%Housing insecurity
- 21.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.1%Food insecurity
- 30.4%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 22.6%Frequent mental distress
- 43.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Patch
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,450 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 12.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.2% of renter households in 2012.
Part of this tract, about 31% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510101500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510101500?
Census tract 29510101500 in the Patch neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510101500?
Median gross rent is $973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510101500?
35.2% of residents in tract 29510101500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,682.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510101500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 25th, minority 62th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 29510101500 considered part of Patch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510101500 fall within Patch (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510101500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,450 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510101500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.54% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510101500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510101500 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510101500 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510101500 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510101500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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