Walnut Park West Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 22.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 27.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The filing record is not thin: 1,140 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 19.8% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 13.0% in 2017 against a 19.8% peak. Among the 69 mapped neighborhoods of St. Louis, it ranks #22 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are College Hill and Baden.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,009, close to the St. Louis average.

One tract means one number: 5.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.