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Neighborhood · St. Louis, MO

Walnut Park East Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 3,063 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.8–5.6

Walnut Park East spans 2 census tracts of St. Louis, MO, population 3,063. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 28.2% citywide, putting Walnut Park East 20.7% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 38%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. SNAP participation is 47.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 46.9% of adults, 29.1 points above the national rate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. Court records carry 1,238 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 55.9% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 11.8% in 2017, is well off that peak. Average gross rent is $928, 7% below the St. Louis average of $997.

That places it #26 of 69 neighborhoods in St. Louis. For a like-for-like read, Bevo Mill and Mark Twain/I-70 Industrial score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

With little internal variation, 5.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Walnut Park East vs St. Louis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.9% +73%
St. Louis: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$928 -7%
St. Louis: $997
Average HH income
$38,209 -34%
St. Louis: $57,574
Poverty rate
26.9% +34%
St. Louis: 20.0%
Renter share
53.1% -3%
St. Louis: 54.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Walnut Park East and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.8–5.6

Why Walnut Park East scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
26.9% below poverty line · Range 5.4–9.4 across tracts
6.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.9 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Walnut Park East vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Walnut Park East score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1Walnut Park EastNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Walnut Park East

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29510107200 5.6 1,015 89% $869
29510107400 4.8 2,048 29% $957
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 97%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 99%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Walnut Park East

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,238Total filings (sum)
  • 19.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 55.9%Peak year (2007)
  • 11.51%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 304Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly observed
  • 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.60×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Walnut Park East

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Walnut Park East

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Walnut Park East?

Walnut Park East scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Walnut Park East compare to St. Louis overall?

Walnut Park East scores 0.9 points higher than St. Louis overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $928 vs $997.
Q3

What is the average rent in Walnut Park East?

Average gross rent in Walnut Park East is $928/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Walnut Park East residents are renters?

53% of Walnut Park East households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 3,063 residents.
Q5

Is Walnut Park East a high social-vulnerability area?

Walnut Park East sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Walnut Park East have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Walnut Park East is census tract 29510107200 (score 5.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 5.6, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Walnut Park East for landlords?

Walnut Park East carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Walnut Park East?

Walnut Park East has 2,776 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (81.3%), Other / Multiracial (16.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (1.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Walnut Park East

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Louis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Walnut Park East.

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