Wells Goodfellow Eviction Risk: Moderate

The poverty rate is 51%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation is 52.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Cost burden runs 39% against 28.2% citywide, putting Wells Goodfellow 11.2% over its own city. Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The dominant input is economic stress at 8.4/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

At $825 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of St. Louis commands. Court records carry 1,229 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2008 at 20.0% of renter households.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.