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Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Berkeley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29189211500 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,531 · 69% of tract blocks fall in Berkeley

Census tract 29189211500 covers part of Berkeley, MO, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,531. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 26% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,038
Renter share59.0%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate35.1%
Median income$42,244

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Berkeley
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very High
National
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22,681 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Berkeley and the region

Centroid at 38.7643, -90.3469 · click any tract to drill in

Why Berkeley scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Berkeley
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
35.1% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Berkeley
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Berkeley
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Berkeley
9.1

How Berkeley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Berkeley risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 2115004.2Berkeleyparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 509Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 13.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak (2017)
  • 100Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29189211500
Filings climbed 89% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 540Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.46×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Berkeley

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the St. Louis County average of 42.0%.

SNAP participation runs 34.8% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Set annual rent against average income of $42,244 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

It sits 1.6 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.0. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 509 filings here across 8 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,199, 12% above the Berkeley average.

Filings peaked in 2017 at 15.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 13.5% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189211500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189211500?

Census tract 29189211500 in Berkeley scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189211500?

Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189211500?

35.1% of residents in tract 29189211500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,531.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189211500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 76th, minority 95th, housing 14th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189211500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 509 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189211500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.55% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189211500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189211500 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189211500 compare to Berkeley overall?

Tract 29189211500 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Berkeley at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berkeley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berkeley

Top eight tracts in Berkeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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