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Census Tract · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Berkeley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29189211500 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,531 · 69% of tract blocks fall in Berkeley

The Elevated-tier score of 7.4/10 for census tract 29189211500 reflects conditions in Berkeley in St. Louis County, Missouri. On the national scale it ranks #1,671 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,199 monthly, set against $42,244 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 26% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,038
Renter share59.0%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate35.1%
Median income$42,244

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Berkeley
Moderate
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#168 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,240 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Berkeley and the region

Centroid at 38.7643, -90.3469 · click any tract to drill in

Why Berkeley scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Berkeley
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
35.1% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Berkeley
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Berkeley
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Berkeley
9.1

How Berkeley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Berkeley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 211500Berkeley: 2.62.6Berkeleyparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 509Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 13.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak (2017)
  • 100Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291892115002003: 53 filings (14.03/100 renter HHs)2004: 57 filings (15.09/100 renter HHs)2005: 58 filings (11.77/100 renter HHs)2006: 51 filings (10.35/100 renter HHs)2010: 64 filings (12.93/100 renter HHs)2012: 56 filings (12.99/100 renter HHs)2013: 70 filings (16.24/100 renter HHs)2017: 100 filings (14.99/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 89% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 540Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.46×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2020-02-01: 14 filings (4.67× baseline)2020-03-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2020-07-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-08-01: 20 filings (2.11× baseline)2020-09-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 6 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-11-01: 9 filings (3.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-01-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2021-05-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-09-01: 12 filings (3.43× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-11-01: 18 filings (6.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-01-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-03-01: 11 filings (2.44× baseline)2022-04-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-08-01: 16 filings (1.68× baseline)2022-09-01: 11 filings (3.14× baseline)2022-10-01: 7 filings (0.78× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-01-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 9 filings (3.60× baseline)2023-03-01: 12 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-04-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-06-01: 19 filings (2.24× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 5 filings (0.53× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-11-01: 11 filings (3.67× baseline)2023-12-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2024-01-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 9 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-05-01: 12 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2024-07-01: 15 filings (4.29× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (0.32× baseline)2024-09-01: 17 filings (4.86× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-11-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-02-01: 22 filings (8.80× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-06-01: 12 filings (1.41× baseline)2025-07-01: 14 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 11 filings (1.16× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2025-10-01: 11 filings (1.22× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2026-01-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Berkeley

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Berkeley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 30.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 25.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.46x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189211500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189211500?

Census tract 29189211500 in Berkeley scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189211500?

Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189211500?

35.1% of residents in tract 29189211500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,531.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189211500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 76th, minority 95th, housing 14th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189211500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 509 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189211500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.55% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189211500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189211500 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189211500 compare to Berkeley overall?

Tract 29189211500 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Berkeley at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berkeley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berkeley

Top eight tracts in Berkeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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